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Category Archives: voting and elections
Reed Students Forecast the 2018 Midterm Election: GOP Will Lose 30 seats
Seventy-eight Reed College students have made a forecast of the outcome of the 2018 midterm congressional elections, and their forecast is for a Democratic takeover of the House, with an average predicted seat change of -30 for the GOP. Reed … finish reading Reed Students Forecast the 2018 Midterm Election: GOP Will Lose 30 seats
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On Elections in Non-Democratic Regimes
My thesis student is starting her second semester, writing a thesis on why elections are so frequent in non-democratic, autocratic regimes. While the following information may make her feel like her thesis has already been written, that’s never the case! … finish reading On Elections in Non-Democratic Regimes
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, voting and elections
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Election night guide
Poll Closing Times (EST) (Battlegrounds in bold): 7:00 pm: GA, IN, KY, SC, VT, VA 7:30 pm: NC, OH, WV 8:00 pm: AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN 8:30 pm: AR 9:00 pm: AZ, CO, KS, … finish reading Election night guide
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Early Voting in Florida among Democrats
Early in person voting by Democrats in Florida, courtesy of Jacob Canter, Reed junior.
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The Constitutionality of Early Voting
(Crossposted from Earlyvoting.net) Just got this email: Dear Prof. Gronke, I, and my colleagues, have been unable to satisfactorily answer this question, “If by law voting shall be held on the “first Tuesday after the first Monday in November” how is … finish reading The Constitutionality of Early Voting
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, Political commentary, voting and elections
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A gentle guide to elections data analysis
A hat tip for today’s posting goes to Charles Stewart of MIT, whose “Political Science Laboratory” course inspired me to engage my introductory statistics students in data management using real data sources. Regular readers of this blog may have seen graphics plotting … finish reading A gentle guide to elections data analysis
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, voting and elections
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Partisanship, Race, and Early Voting in North Carolina
(This post is co-authored with Jacob Canter, Reed sophomore and EVIC research assistant and is crossposted from earlyvoting.net) The early ballots are beginning to pile up in North Carolina, and we can finally start to discern some patterns of turnout … finish reading Partisanship, Race, and Early Voting in North Carolina
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, voting and elections
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A new take on partisan polarization: Dems and Reps just don’t like one another
The results of a recent article “Affect, Not Ideology: A Social identity Perspective on PolarizAtion” by Iyenger, Sood, and Lelkes in Public Opinion Quarterly (gated) probably won’t come as news to many: Democrats and Republicans dislike one another. The article provides an … finish reading A new take on partisan polarization: Dems and Reps just don’t like one another
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, voting and elections
Tagged polarization, public opinion
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My voter file moment at Vanderbilt
My day in Nashville has been wonderful–thanks again to John Geer and the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions for hosting me. My lecture had one lowlight and one highlight. I wonder if the highlight is shared by my good friends … finish reading My voter file moment at Vanderbilt
Posted in Faculty, Paul Gronke, voting and elections
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Why focus on the groups who voted for Obama? Why not on the groups that didn’t?
There have been a flurry of analyses in recent days about the surprising level of support Obama garnered from various groups in the population. If we were to read the commentary, at least four different subgroups of the population were … finish reading Why focus on the groups who voted for Obama? Why not on the groups that didn’t?