{"id":2866,"date":"2017-08-20T07:30:56","date_gmt":"2017-08-20T14:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/?p=2866"},"modified":"2021-10-11T22:59:34","modified_gmt":"2021-10-12T05:59:34","slug":"unanswered-questions-for-geoengineers-reed-college","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/2017\/08\/unanswered-questions-for-geoengineers-reed-college\/","title":{"rendered":"Unanswered Questions for Geoengineers &amp; Reed College"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(<strong>Update<\/strong>: On 11 Oct 2021 the Reed College Board of Trustees announced its decision to divest the college&#8217;s endowment from fossil fuels. Read about it <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/2021\/10\/reed-announces-plan-for-fossil-fuel-divestment\/\">here<\/a><\/strong>.)<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The Paris agreement aims to limit the global temperature rise to 1.5 to 2C above preindustrial temperature, but achieving this goal requires\u00a0<strong>much higher levels of mitigation than currently planned<\/strong><em>.<\/em> [emphasis added]&#8221; So\u00a0begins an editorial, <a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/357\/6348\/231.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>&#8220;How to govern geoengineering,&#8221;<\/strong><\/a> appearing on p. 231 of the <strong>21 July 2017<\/strong> issue of <strong>Science<\/strong> magazine.<\/p>\n<p>The 3 authors, all of whom work at\u00a0the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carnegiecouncil.org\/programs\/ccgg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Carnegie Climate Geoengineering Governance (C2G2) Initiative<\/strong><\/a>, describe\u00a0the two most talked-about versions of &#8220;geoengineering&#8221; (human actions designed to intentionally change the climate): <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Carbon_dioxide_removal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>carbon dioxide removal (CDR)<\/strong><\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Solar_radiation_management\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>solar radiation management (SRM)<\/strong><\/a>. Both approaches currently run aground on\u00a0unsolved technical problems, and, as the authors point out, &#8220;<strong>geoengineering does not obviate the need for\u00a0radical reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to zero<\/strong>, combined with adaptation to inevitable climate impacts. [emphasis added]&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>To put it in straightforward\u00a0terms, we can talk all we want about\u00a0technical &#8216;engineering + adaptation&#8217; fixes for the planet, but we still\u00a0need to stop producing greenhouse gases. This means halting the burning of fossil fuels, something that will happen only when Reed College, and other shareholders in fossil fuel companies, stop clinging to a narrowly defined view of &#8220;fiduciary responsibility&#8221; that says short-term profit is a viable option even if it leads to\u00a0long-term disaster.<\/p>\n<p>I have 34 years of college teaching at 3 different institutions under my belt, and I know that what we do is worthwhile, but I cannot identify a single college program that would\u00a0justify financial transactions that\u00a0will ultimately make refugees out of the\u00a0millions who live in\u00a0coastal communities, and threaten the global food supply, to name just two likely consequences of climate change (<a href=\"http:\/\/nymag.com\/daily\/intelligencer\/2017\/07\/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>&#8220;The Uninhabitable Earth,&#8221;<\/strong><\/a> New York Magazine, 9 July 2017 and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/science\/archive\/2017\/07\/is-the-earth-really-that-doomed\/533112\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>&#8220;Are We as Doomed as That New York Magazine Article Says?&#8221;<\/strong><\/a> The Atlantic, 10 July 2017).<\/p>\n<p>Our institution&#8217;s approach to the fossil fuel industry needs to change, and yet, even as I try to picture the necessary changes I know that these will need to\u00a0be managed carefully and thoughtfully. Overnight divestment is not a viable option. Unfortunately, what concerns me is that the College&#8217;s leaders have so far\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.reed.edu\/news_center\/press_releases\/2013-2014\/071714_ffrletter.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>denied<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0that there is even a problem here worthy of their attention. They find it easier to blow the dust off of documents written for a bygone age, and point to phrases like\u00a0&#8220;fiduciary responsibility&#8221; and &#8220;protecting academic freedom,&#8221; phrases that will almost certainly\u00a0lose all meaning in the world that is now appearing all around us.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes it helps to look at the data. Here are\u00a0<a href=\"ftp:\/\/aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov\/products\/trends\/co2\/co2_mm_gl.txt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>globally averaged CO2 levels<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0(measured at the ocean&#8217;s surface as reported by the U.S. National Oceanic &amp; Atmospheric Administration, NOAA) taken from\u00a0the last 27 years of my\u00a0Reed career:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>April, 1990<\/strong> (my first Reed Thesis Parade) &#8211; <strong>355.4 ppm<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>April, 2013<\/strong> (class of &#8217;17 clicks &#8216;yes&#8217; on Reed&#8217;s admission offer) &#8211; <strong>396.5 ppm<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>April, 2017<\/strong> (class of &#8217;17 celebrates\u00a0Thesis Parade) &#8211; <strong>406.7 ppm<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--more-->When I first arrived at Reed\u00a0global CO2 levels had just moved\u00a0above the 350 ppm mark embraced as &#8220;safe&#8221; by atmospheric scientists and climate activist organizations like\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/350.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>350.org<\/strong><\/a>. This means my entire Reed\u00a0career has been spent watching CO2 levels rise ever higher into the &#8220;danger&#8221; zone.<\/p>\n<p>The <em>rate<\/em> of CO2 rise is another\u00a0cause for concern. In my first 23 years at Reed (1990-2013) these levels rose 41.1 ppm or 1.8 ppm\/year. During\u00a0the last\u00a04\u00a0years (2013-7), however, the\u00a0time period during which the Reed Class of 2017 completed\u00a0the journey from high school to college graduation, CO2 levels rose\u00a0another 10.2 ppm or 2.5 ppm\/year. So not only are CO2 levels higher than ever before, they might be rising faster too.<\/p>\n<p>During these 27 years I replaced my gas guzzlers with hybrids, bought utility energy credits in solar, wind, and other renewables to replace all of my power consumption, and I watched one\u00a0institution after another (including <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reed.edu\/reed_magazine\/march2013\/articles\/eliot_circular\/carbon_footprint.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Reed<\/strong><\/a>) &#8220;go green&#8221; with energy reduction programs. All of these actions were beneficial, but things have gotten worse anyway. This is because the impact of our\u00a0<em>other<\/em> actions, namely our addiction\u00a0to fossil fuels\u00a0as a means for\u00a0operating our daily lives, and as a means for\u00a0funding our institutions, has exceeded the impact of our good deeds.<\/p>\n<p>The take-away lesson\u00a0is not that the situation is hopeless and we are doomed, but that much,\u00a0<em>much<\/em>\u00a0greater efforts are\u00a0called for. Unfortunately, great effort must begin with great imagination, and it is challenging\u00a0to imagine changes on a sufficiently large\u00a0scale. Our habit is to\u00a0think small, to bind our expectations regarding our\u00a0futures tightly to the constraints of the world we already live in. &#8220;What can <em>I<\/em> do?&#8221; and &#8220;How will Monday\u00a0be different from Sunday?&#8221; are the kinds of incremental questions we prefer.<\/p>\n<p>Mental habits like these make sense in a certain kind of world, but the CO2 trends cited above should make one pause. Intentionally or not, we\u00a0are creating\u00a0a world that is unlike any that we have seen in human history. We need to think more imaginatively than ever before, particularly if it is our responsibility to support the ongoing activities of two thousand students and workers. While it is certainly possible that\u00a0incremental improvements in\u00a0energy production, usage, and investment, are\u00a0the only ones available to us, we must make sure that we operate consistently from a perspective in which addressing climate change is of the highest priority, and not from a perspective\u00a0that assumes\u00a0college &#8220;business as usual&#8221; trumps all other considerations.<\/p>\n<p>The ability to imagine futures radically different from the present, and to devise plans for reaching those futures, may not come easily, but it is the kind of &#8220;outside-the-box&#8221; thinking that\u00a0a Reed education ought to\u00a0cultivate. And this is the kind of imagination that needs to\u00a0guide the College&#8217;s planning for the future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Update: On 11 Oct 2021 the Reed College Board of Trustees announced its decision to divest the college&#8217;s endowment from fossil fuels. Read about it here.) &#8220;The Paris agreement aims to limit the global temperature rise to 1.5 to 2C&nbsp;&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/2017\/08\/unanswered-questions-for-geoengineers-reed-college\/\">finish&nbsp;reading&nbsp;Unanswered Questions for Geoengineers &amp; Reed College<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2866"}],"version-history":[{"count":36,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2866\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3408,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2866\/revisions\/3408"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.reed.edu\/alan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}