Author Archives: gronkep

How many people vote early? Or when 50% becomes 45% becomes 17%.

There have been some breathless stories over the last few days that vastly overstate the number of Americans who are likely to cast an early ballot, in person or no-excuse absentee, in the next few weeks. Kyle Inskeep of NBC … finish reading How many people vote early? Or when 50% becomes 45% becomes 17%.

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The Twitterverse Interview with Issenberg, Victory Lab

Read the Twitter conversation between Sasha Issenberg and Christina Bellantoni (PBS Newshour).  Search on @victorylab or follow this link for the questions: https://twitter.com/#!/search/%40victorylab

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Counterfactuals and Campaigns

I’ve been reflecting on my differences with John Sides about the impact of gaffes, and I realize that explaining counterfactuals–an issue that John raises effectively in his recent posting– is very challenging.  It’s challenging to explain to students, who tolerate our philosophizing … finish reading Counterfactuals and Campaigns

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Update from Millionaire’s Island

It’s difficult to know quite what to say about Mitt Romney’s statements about the 47% of American society who don’t pay taxes and apparently utterly dependent on government and solidly in the Obama camp. The statement is inaccurate in so … finish reading Update from Millionaire’s Island

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Gary King on the Troubled Future of Universities and Colleges

A thoughtful new essay by Gary King and Maya Sen on the future of higher education, apparently part of a forthcoming symposium,  just came across the transom.   I look forward to reading the rest of the papers. While it … finish reading Gary King on the Troubled Future of Universities and Colleges

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Democracies and Decision Making: Fluoride Edition

The Portland City Council voted to add fluoride to the Portland water system today, thus ending the city’s dubious distinction as the largest municipality in the U.S. without fluoride in its water.  The debate has been heated–just peruse the comments … finish reading Democracies and Decision Making: Fluoride Edition

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2012 Public Policy Lecture Series Announced!

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Mitt, Barack, and Osama: A modern take on non-attitudes (with hat tip to Bartels and Converse)

Tip of the hat to Larry Bartels at The Monkey Cage blog who provides a brief reference to this story by Dylan Matthews, “Do 15% of Ohio Republicans think Romney killed Osama bin Laden? Probably not.” Matthews asks: Public Policy … finish reading Mitt, Barack, and Osama: A modern take on non-attitudes (with hat tip to Bartels and Converse)

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Roll Call and CQ Daily are merging

The merger of Roll Call and CQ Daily is not going to register in a lot of circles, but I remember both as required reading for any aspiring scholar of American politics.  Both publications are apparently making money, but readership … finish reading Roll Call and CQ Daily are merging

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More on Killian

(Apologies to my commenter; I can’t get the graphics into a comment. I appreciate the comment, and you’re right–if I collapse the categories into Independent (including leaner), Weak, and Strong Affiliators, the Independent value is significantly lower from the two … finish reading More on Killian

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